ATFX汇评：日本央行周五决议，再次加息概率较低

Group 1 - The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its current interest rate during the upcoming monetary policy decision, with a low probability of an interest rate hike [1] - The divergence in monetary policy between the Bank of Japan and other major central banks, which are mostly in a rate-cutting or pausing phase, is notable, as the Bank of Japan has been increasing its benchmark interest rate [1] - Japan's macroeconomic outlook remains uncertain, with GDP growth at 1.2% year-on-year and core CPI at 3.1%, indicating a weak recovery influenced by U.S. tariff policies [2] Group 2 - The technical analysis of USDJPY indicates a long-term bearish trend, but a bottoming phase has begun since April 22, suggesting a potential rebound [4] - The recent candlestick pattern shows strong buying pressure, with a double bottom formation indicating a possible upward movement in USDJPY [4] - The projected rebound range for USDJPY is between 147.94 and 149.06 points, based on Fibonacci retracement levels [4]