从“开门”到“定规”：“十四五”金融制度型开放交出全景答卷｜“十四五”规划收官

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles is that China's financial industry has transitioned from "opening the door" to "restructuring rules" during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with significant institutional breakthroughs achieved in financial openness, and the focus is now on deepening these reforms in the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1][6]. Summary by Sections Institutional Breakthroughs - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has marked a historic shift in China's financial openness, moving from market access to rule alignment, with key breakthroughs in three main areas: the implementation of the negative list and national treatment framework, upgrades in factor mobility and infrastructure connectivity, and improvements in financial legal systems and macro-prudential frameworks [1][3]. Market Access and Foreign Investment - Restrictions on foreign ownership in key sectors such as securities, funds, futures, and life insurance have been completely lifted, allowing major international investment banks to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries in China. This includes firms like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Standard Chartered [2]. - By the end of 2024, foreign ownership of A-shares is projected to reach approximately 3.4 trillion yuan, accounting for 4.3% of the total market, an increase of 1.8 percentage points from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2]. Interconnectivity Mechanisms - Significant progress has been made in interconnectivity mechanisms, expanding from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect to include the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Bond Connect, and others, facilitating a broader range of investment products [2][4]. - The Bond Connect's "southbound" channel has officially opened, and the integration of QFII and RQFII systems has been completed, further broadening cross-border investment channels [2]. Financial Demand and Opportunities - The growing wealth management needs of Chinese residents, driven by the accumulation of financial assets, present substantial opportunities for foreign financial institutions. The total scale of entrusted assets in trust, wealth management, and insurance asset management is expected to reach 154 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with an annual growth rate of 10.4% [3][4]. Challenges for Foreign Institutions - Foreign financial institutions face significant localization challenges, including insufficient retail network presence and lagging digitalization. Their average net interest margin is 0.6 percentage points lower than that of domestic banks [5]. - The complexity of regulatory compliance and the need to adapt to China's unique regulatory environment pose additional challenges for foreign entities [5]. Future Directions for Financial Openness - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to focus on deepening interconnectivity and aligning rules, with an emphasis on optimizing interconnectivity systems through expanded product offerings and improved risk management tools [6][8]. - Experts suggest further reducing the negative list for financial services and establishing consistent licensing standards for both domestic and foreign institutions to attract high-quality foreign entities [9]. Data Governance and Cross-Border Compliance - Data governance and cross-border compliance are anticipated to be major focuses in the "15th Five-Year Plan," with calls for establishing clear rules for financial data circulation and enhancing cross-border regulatory cooperation [10]. Renminbi Internationalization and Exchange Rate Reform - The internationalization of the renminbi and reforms in the exchange rate mechanism have made substantial progress, with the renminbi's role in global trade settlements and cross-border investments steadily increasing [11][12]. - Future efforts will likely focus on expanding the renminbi's use in energy and commodity settlements, enhancing offshore renminbi centers, and promoting the application of digital renminbi in cross-border transactions [13].