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A股调整还是来了,老问题:见顶了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-18 13:21

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a decline, raising questions about whether it has reached a temporary peak, especially given the high trading volume and prices [1] - The recent drop is influenced by several factors, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which was in line with market expectations, and the subsequent hawkish comments from Powell [1] - There are reports of banks being guided to reduce positions, which has led to a significant decline in the banking sector [1] Group 2 - The market has seen a substantial increase in trading volume since June 23, primarily driven by large technology stocks, but this volume has recently decreased from 3 trillion to 2.4 trillion [6] - The leverage in the market is approaching 2.4 trillion, with an increase of over 70 billion in the past three trading days, indicating a potential risk as leverage can be a double-edged sword [6][8] - There has been a notable increase in share reductions by major shareholders across various sectors, with semiconductor and machinery sectors showing particularly high reduction rates [9] Group 3 - The market is facing a slowdown in new capital inflows, as indicated by the reduced speed of private equity fundraising and the slowing down of deposit transfers [9] - The current market dynamics suggest that the anticipated adjustments in a bull market may lead to uncertainty among retail investors, questioning their confidence in buying during corrections [10] - Technical analysis indicates that the Shenzhen Composite Index has formed a potential top structure, which could signal further adjustments in the market [12]