就在刚刚 川普现在很慌！

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions, highlighting President Trump's anxiety over rising unemployment and market volatility, while also noting the potential for unexpected rate hikes despite high expectations for cuts [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decisions - The market anticipates a 96.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, but there remains a 3.6% chance of a 50 basis point rate hike, indicating significant uncertainty [1] - Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve are evident, with two Trump-appointed governors voting against immediate rate cuts during the July meeting, reflecting concerns over inflation risks from tariffs [1] - The core PCE inflation rate is approaching 3%, moving further away from the Fed's 2% target, complicating the decision-making process for Chairman Powell [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Market Reactions - The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in August, the highest in four years, contributing to market volatility and Trump's heightened anxiety [1] - Despite a 0.3% contraction in Q1 GDP and a downward revision of non-farm payroll data by 910,000, inflation pressures from Trump's tariff policies have increased inflation from 2.3% to 2.9% [1] - Global trade has contracted by 0.2%, raising concerns about potential economic downturns in the U.S. and the implications for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions [1]