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老登们崩溃了:大肉没吃上,挨打没落下
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-18 16:30

Market Performance - On September 18, the Shanghai Composite Index approached 3900 points, reaching a high of 3899.96, the highest level since August 2015, before dropping nearly 2% to a low of 3801 points [1] - The ChiNext Index fell over 3%, indicating a surge in panic among investors, with total market turnover reaching 31,666 billion, an increase of 7,637 billion from the previous day, marking the third-largest turnover of the year [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index declined by 1.15% on this date, while the Nikkei 225 rose by 1.15%, causing discontent among investors [3] Sector Performance - Key sectors such as liquor, banking, brokerage, and insurance experienced declines, with liquor down 2%, banking down 1.9%, brokerage down 3.13%, and insurance down 2.2%. Conversely, the Sci-Tech 50 Index rose by 0.72% [3] - The article highlights the performance of various concept indices, with some sectors like optical modules and copper-clad laminates showing positive growth, while others like real estate and financial technology faced significant declines [4] Reasons for Market Correction - The market correction is attributed to four main factors: 1. A desire to prevent excessive index growth, leading to weakness in major financial sectors like securities and banking [5] 2. Technical pressure at the 3900-point psychological resistance level, prompting profit-taking [5] 3. The market partially digesting the positive news of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve [5] 4. Proximity to holidays causing some investors to reduce positions for risk management [5] Market Outlook - The current market is expected to enter a phase of consolidation, with potential fluctuations between 3700 and 3900 points, as the market digests profits and builds new momentum [5] - Historical patterns suggest that each correction is followed by a rebound that sets new highs, indicating a long-term positive trend supported by a favorable liquidity environment and attractive market valuations [7] - Goldman Sachs maintains an "overweight" rating on A-shares, predicting an 8% potential upside over the next 12 months and recommending buying on dips [8]