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国联民生:维持理想汽车-W“买入”评级 毛利率韧性强劲
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-19 02:08

Core Viewpoint - The company faces challenges in sales and profitability due to intensified industry competition, with projected revenue and net profit showing fluctuations over the next few years [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company delivered 111,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 2.3%, with total revenue of 30.2 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 2025 was 1.09 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit of 1.46 billion yuan [2]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 123.9 billion, 190.3 billion, and 220.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -14.3%, 53.6%, and 16.0% respectively [1]. Group 2: Margin and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.1%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points, while the automotive business gross margin was 19.4% [4]. - The company maintains strong cost control and has a well-established production management system, contributing to its robust gross margin performance [4]. Group 3: Research and Development - The company invested 2.81 billion yuan in R&D and 2.72 billion yuan in SG&A for Q2 2025, with R&D and SG&A expense ratios of 9.3% and 9.0% respectively [4]. - High R&D investment is expected to accelerate the company's progress in AI, which may be crucial for future growth [4]. Group 4: Market Position and Infrastructure - As of August 31, 2025, the company has established 543 retail centers and 536 authorized service centers across 222 cities, enhancing its market presence [5]. - The company has deployed 3,190 charging stations and 17,597 charging piles nationwide, contributing to the development of its electric vehicle ecosystem [5].