Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-19 06:36Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in VLCC freight rates is driven by increased oil production and a decline in oil prices, alongside heightened demand for compliant oil tankers due to intensified sanctions from Europe and the U.S. [1] Company Summary - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) saw a nearly 5% increase in stock price, reaching HKD 9.59 with a trading volume of HKD 319 million [1] - The VLCC-TCE index rose to USD 78,000 on September 12, marking a 39% week-on-week increase [1] Industry Summary - The oil transportation market is experiencing a favorable shift in supply-demand dynamics, with expectations of further improvements due to aging tanker fleets and potential sanctions on older vessels [1] - The recovery in oil transportation demand is supported by the resumption of operations at major Chinese refineries and ongoing production increases from OPEC+ since April [1] - The aging fleet of oil tankers and the establishment of stricter carbon fee systems by organizations like the EU and IMO are likely to tighten supply further, enhancing the potential for rising freight rates [1] - A USD 10,000/day increase in VLCC-TCE rates could yield an additional marginal profit of CNY 9.52 billion for the company, indicating significant financial implications for investors [1]