Group 1 - The recent adjustment in A-shares has led to renewed skepticism about the bull market, with the current market dynamics differing significantly from the 2014-2015 period, where widespread surges were common [2] - The rapid increase in IPOs over the past decade has resulted in a larger number of stocks in the A-share market, leading to a potential concentration of trading volume in high-quality companies, similar to trends seen in the Hong Kong stock market [2] - The current market environment suggests that a broad-based rally is unlikely due to limited capital to support such movements, indicating that the bull market may only apply to select stocks [2] Group 2 - The recent drop in A-shares following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is attributed to the need for the market to digest previous short-term gains in certain stocks, rather than a direct negative reaction to the rate cut itself [3] - The upcoming LPR adjustment will be a key factor in determining the short-term outlook for A-shares, with the possibility of future rate cuts still holding potential for positive market sentiment [3] - The focus should shift from questioning the existence of a bull market to researching specific sectors and companies, as understanding these elements may yield greater insights and opportunities [3]
牛市还在?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-19 10:00