「油价又要涨？」降了300元后，时隔两月，油价可能再次上调！

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in domestic fuel prices are influenced by a complex interplay of supply and demand factors, with a potential for price adjustments in the near future, but the overall market sentiment remains cautious [1][3][6]. Group 1: Recent Price Trends - From mid-July to early September, domestic gasoline and diesel prices experienced significant declines, with a cumulative drop of approximately 600 yuan per ton, effectively reducing travel costs for consumers [1]. - The price reductions not only offset previous increases but also provided additional savings for consumers, particularly benefiting long-distance freight drivers [1]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Price Movements - International oil prices have shown signs of a rebound in September, driven by several key factors including reduced oil exports from Russia, which is impacting global supply [3]. - Expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could weaken the dollar, leading to higher oil prices, as crude oil is priced in dollars [3]. - Ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainties, such as regional conflicts and trade tensions, are contributing to market volatility and increasing oil prices [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis and Future Outlook - A recent three-day streak of rising international oil prices signals a potential upward adjustment in domestic fuel prices, according to current crude oil change rate calculations [4]. - Despite the prevailing sentiment for price increases, concerns about weak energy demand persist, as evidenced by rising distillate oil inventories in the U.S., indicating lower-than-expected consumption [6]. - Even if prices do rise, the expected increase may be limited to 25-30 yuan per ton, which translates to a minimal impact on consumers, with only a few extra yuan for a full tank of gas [6].