Anglo American, Teck Resources Merger Could Create $56 Billion Mining Giant: Analyst

Core Viewpoint - Anglo American's planned merger with Teck Resources aims to create a combined company with a market capitalization of approximately $56 billion and targeted annual pre-tax synergies of $2.2 billion, as estimated by J.P. Morgan [1] Financial Projections - Anglo American's earnings per share are projected to decline by 13% in 2027, narrowing to 5% in 2030 if coal and diamond assets are retained, or to 2% in 2030 if these assets are divested [2] - Revenue forecasts for Anglo American are $21.8 billion in 2025, $20.7 billion in 2026, and $23.2 billion in 2027, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be $6.5 billion in 2025, $7.1 billion in 2026, and $7.7 billion in 2027 [5] Synergies and Valuation - Corporate synergies of $800 million are anticipated by 2030, with 80% of these synergies expected to be realized by 2028 [3] - Pre-tax synergies from the integration of the Collahuasi mine are estimated to contribute an additional net present value of $3.5 to $4.0 billion for the combined Anglo-Teck entity [3] Deal Structure - The merger will be executed through a share swap of 1.3301 Anglo shares for each Teck share, with Anglo distributing a $4.5 billion special dividend to its shareholders [4] - Post-merger, Anglo shareholders will own 62% of the new group, which will be headquartered in Vancouver and listed in multiple financial markets including London, Toronto, Johannesburg, and New York [4] Debt and Earnings Outlook - Net debt is projected to peak at $10 billion in 2027, equating to 0.9 times EBITDA, and is expected to decrease to $6 billion (0.6x) if divestments are completed [5] - Adjusted net income is forecasted to rise from $722 million in 2025 to $1.6 billion in 2027, with adjusted EPS expected to increase from 61 cents in 2025 to $1.34 in 2027 [6]