国际油价上涨！9月19日柴油汽油价格，9月23日国内油价调整要搁浅

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming oil price adjustment on September 23 may be suspended due to insufficient changes in international oil prices, which have experienced significant volatility recently [1][5]. Price Trends - Domestic oil prices have been adjusted downwards seven times this year, with a total reduction of 405 CNY per ton, leading to 92 gasoline prices returning to the "7 CNY era" in many regions [3][12]. - In Guangzhou, the current prices are 7.13 CNY per liter for 92 gasoline, 7.73 CNY for 95 gasoline, and 6.46 CNY for 0 diesel [3]. Regional Price Variations - There are notable regional differences in oil prices across China, with the southwestern regions generally higher than the eastern regions. Hainan province has the highest prices, with 92 gasoline at 8.23 CNY per liter in Haikou [4][12]. Factors Influencing Price Adjustments - The National Development and Reform Commission's pricing mechanism states that if the international oil price changes by less than 50 CNY per ton, the adjustment will be suspended. Currently, the expected reduction is only 10 CNY per ton, well below the threshold [5]. - Recent international oil price fluctuations were influenced by OPEC's increased production and a rise in U.S. crude oil inventories, which initially drove prices down. However, events such as hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have contributed to a rebound in prices [8][10]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that the upward momentum for oil prices may weaken as the effects of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are gradually realized. Future international oil prices are expected to fluctuate between 65.7 USD and 69 USD [10].