Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the launch of the Horizon SuperDrive (HSD) solution by the company marks a significant change in the high-end autonomous driving market, with the ET5 model expected to be released in November 2025 [1] - The company has achieved a production milestone of over 10 million units for its Journey series chips, with a target of reaching 10 million units for HSD production in the next 3-5 years [1] - The company has established a European headquarters in Munich and is building deep connections with international clients such as Bosch, Continental, and Volkswagen, which may help expand its autonomous driving solutions globally [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a market share of 45.8% in basic ADAS and 32.4% in overall ADAS solutions, leading the Chinese market [2] - The company saw a doubling of J-series chip shipments to 1.98 million units year-on-year, with shipments of chips supporting NOA functionality increasing fivefold to 980,000 units [2] - The company has secured nearly 90 new model designations, with over 15 models featuring mid-to-high level ADAS solutions entering mass production [2] Group 3 - The company has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index, enhancing its visibility and attracting passive fund inflows [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected shipments of 4 million, 5.04 million, and 7 million units, representing year-on-year growth of 38%, 26%, and 39% respectively [2] - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.62 billion, 5.85 billion, and 8.39 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 52%, 62%, and 43% respectively [2] Group 4 - The company is positioned as a rare third-party full-stack autonomous driving solution provider in China, benefiting from trends in domestic substitution, automotive intelligence, and edge AI development [3] - The target price for the company is set at 12.44 HKD, with a target PS of 27 times for 2026, corresponding to a target market value of 158 billion yuan [3] - Comparisons with peer companies suggest a PS of 21, 32, and 26 times for Nvidia, ARM, and Cambricon respectively for 2026 [3]
地平线机器人(09660.HK)重大事项点评:星纪元ET5首搭HSD 有望驱动加速成长