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英国央行暂停降息,机构普遍押注宽松周期延至2026年
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-19 23:45

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England has decided to maintain its key interest rate, leading major financial institutions to adjust their forecasts regarding future rate cuts, with expectations that no further cuts will occur until 2025 [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Decisions - The Bank of England's decision to pause interest rate cuts follows a 25 basis point reduction in August, aligning with market expectations [1] - The decision is influenced by ongoing inflation pressures and uncertainties in economic growth and employment prospects [1] Group 2: Forecast Adjustments by Financial Institutions - Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley predict that the next round of easing by the Bank of England will begin in February 2026, with subsequent cuts occurring quarterly [1] - Both institutions note that a significant deterioration in economic data could lead to a potential rate cut in December [1] - JPMorgan has revised its forecast for the first rate cut from November 2025 to February and April 2026, emphasizing that a notable weakening in economic data could still make a December cut possible [1]