俄能源出口遇阻！乌军突袭炼油厂，经济战成俄乌新战场

Core Viewpoint - Ukraine's recent drone attacks on Russian energy facilities signify a strategic shift aimed at undermining Russia's economic capacity to sustain its military efforts, reflecting a response to the stagnation in peace negotiations [1][5][16] Group 1: Military Strategy - The attacks target critical energy infrastructure to reduce Russia's oil and gas export revenues, which are vital for funding military operations [5][16] - The Volgograd refinery's processing capacity of 13.7 million tons accounts for 5.1% of Russia's total processing capacity, linking these facilities directly to military potential [5][11] - Ukraine's choice of nighttime strikes and the absence of civilian casualties differentiate these actions from typical terrorist activities, indicating a focused military strategy [5][9] Group 2: Economic Impact - The strikes have already led to gasoline shortages in some Russian regions, affecting civilian life and potentially increasing domestic unrest [3][9] - While individual facilities may recover quickly, the cumulative effect of repeated attacks could strain Russia's resources, necessitating increased security measures and diverting military assets [9][16] - Concerns exist that these actions could destabilize international energy markets, impacting global oil prices and potentially affecting Ukraine's economic situation as an energy importer [11][14] Group 3: International Relations - Ukraine's actions may enhance its bargaining position in future negotiations by demonstrating its capability to strike deep into Russian territory [9][14] - The international community may view Ukraine's targeted strikes as a necessary measure against Russia's ongoing aggression, potentially solidifying Western support despite concerns over energy market stability [14][16] - The conflict over energy facilities illustrates the intertwining of economic warfare and psychological tactics in modern conflicts, with both sides leveraging their energy resources as strategic assets [16]