Goldman Sachs(US:GS) Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-09-21 00:31Group 1: Market Outlook - The current rally in the Chinese stock market is deemed sustainable and not a speculative bubble, supported by a healthier market participant structure [2] - The market participant structure has become more balanced, with increased participation from institutional investors such as domestic insurance, pension funds, mutual funds, and overseas emerging market funds [2] - Valuation levels have not been excessively inflated, with the MSCI China Index trading at approximately 17 times earnings, slightly above historical averages, and the CSI 300 Index median stock PE ratio around 18 times, close to historical mean [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The "anti-involution" policy and AI-related investment opportunities are expected to provide ongoing growth momentum for the Chinese stock market [3] - The AI wave is improving fundamentals in the Chinese stock market, with Chinese companies planning to increase R&D and capital expenditure in AI-related hardware over the next five years [3] - The "anti-involution" policy is projected to enhance corporate profitability by approximately 2% annually in the coming years, particularly benefiting leading companies in various industries [4] Group 3: Global Capital Trends - The macro environment, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a weaker dollar, is creating favorable conditions for Asian stock markets [5] - There is a subtle shift in overseas investors' attitudes towards China, with more funds willing to consider investments in the Chinese market [5] - European investors are showing a more positive attitude towards China, while Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds are expressing stronger interest in Asian markets, including China [5]