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中国再向澳大利亚进口油菜籽,加拿大还不谈判,不会给时间了
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-21 06:13

Core Viewpoint - The trade dispute between China and Canada over canola seeds is escalating, with China imposing a 73% deposit on imports, leading to a complete halt in canola seed imports from Canada, which typically exceeds 4 million tons annually [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - China has begun to source canola seeds from Australia, ordering up to 9 ships, each carrying 60,000 tons, to compensate for the supply gap created by the halt in imports from Canada. This order represents 8% of China's total canola seed imports last year [3]. - The Canadian government is facing pressure from its domestic canola industry to negotiate with China, as the halt in exports has led to significant anxiety among producers [1][4]. Group 2: Political Context - Canadian Prime Minister's recent statements indicate a willingness to negotiate with China, but analysts believe that actual cancellation of tariffs is unlikely due to strong anti-China sentiments within Canadian politics [4]. - The Canadian government has been criticized for its approach to the trade dispute, with accusations of arrogance and shortsightedness, as it failed to recognize the seriousness of the situation until China sought alternative suppliers [5]. Group 3: Market Impact - The halt in canola seed exports has resulted in a loss of access to a $4.9 billion market for Canada, with an average loss of several thousand dollars per farmer in the western regions [5]. - Australia's improved relations with China and its logistical advantages position it as a strong alternative supplier, allowing China to diversify its sources and reduce reliance on a single supplier [5].