5 Ways the Fed's Interest Rate Cut Will Boost Robinhood's Stock

Core Viewpoint - The online brokerage firm Robinhood is expected to benefit from the recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which will likely lead to increased trading activity and revenue growth as investors shift towards riskier assets [2][3]. Group 1: Impact of Lower Interest Rates - Lower interest rates will reduce the value of idle cash, prompting investors to buy more growth stocks, dividend stocks, and cryptocurrencies on Robinhood, leading to increased trading volumes [5]. - Cryptocurrency trades on Robinhood accounted for 37% of its transaction revenue and 22% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, with significant year-over-year growth in trading revenue [6][7]. - Lower lending costs from the Fed's rate cuts are expected to spur more margin loans and active trades on Robinhood, boosting total transaction revenues [9][10]. Group 2: Subscription Growth and Revenue - Robinhood's Gold tier subscription, which offers various benefits for a monthly fee, saw a 76% year-over-year growth in subscribers, reaching 3.5 million, and subscription revenue surged 67% year-over-year to $82 million [11][12]. - The growth in Gold subscriptions could reduce the firm's dependence on more volatile trading and interest revenues [12]. Group 3: Overall Growth and Valuation - From 2020 to 2024, Robinhood doubled its funded customer base from 12.5 million to 25.2 million, with assets under custody tripling from $63 billion to $193 billion, and revenue growing at a CAGR of 32.5% [13]. - Analysts project Robinhood's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 22% and 30% respectively from 2024 to 2027, with an enterprise value of $108.6 billion [14]. - The recent rate cuts could drive investors to pay higher premiums for quality stocks, potentially pushing Robinhood's stock price higher despite its previous 440% rally over the past year [15].