Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the valuation ceiling for global robot manufacturers has been lifted, with Figure's recent C-round financing raising its post-money valuation to $39 billion, suggesting a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of approximately 20 times if the production reaches 100,000 units at a unit price of $20,000 [1] - Tesla's announcement of a 10-year compensation plan for Musk, targeting the delivery of 1 million Optimus robots, implies a market capitalization of $500 billion, aligning with Figure's valuation metrics [1] - The valuation uplift for robot manufacturers is expected to create a "Matthew Effect" in the industry, benefiting core component companies with significant potential for valuation increases, with projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios reaching up to 200 times in the early stages of the industry [1] Group 2 - Key focus areas for Figure's financing include application scenarios, infrastructure development, and data collection, emphasizing the importance of supply chain integration, AI chip technology, and dexterous hands in product development [2] - Companies that can integrate supply chain capabilities, engineering feasibility, and global manufacturing capacity are likely to become part of the supply chain for leading robot companies like Tesla and Figure [2] - Specific core component directions identified include dexterous hands for precise operations and actuators and motors that are critical for supply chain vertical integration [2] Group 3 - Relevant companies and targets in the robotics sector include: 1) Rotary actuators and reducers: Longsheng Technology 2) Linear actuators: Zhenyu Technology, Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control 3) Dexterous hands: Zhenyu Technology, Rongtai Health, Jundingda 4) Lead screws: Wuzhou Xinchun, Zhenyu Technology, Zhejiang Rongtai 5) Motors: Xinzhi Group 6) Lightweight materials: Weike Technology, Hengbo Shares 7) Structural components: Lingyi Zhi Zao, Changying Precision 8) Applications: Taotao Automotive [3]
开源证券-机械行业周报:Figure 390亿美金估值和马斯克“万亿美金薪酬计划”的背后