Qi Huo Ri Bao·2025-09-22 00:00Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in collaboration with the National Development and Reform Commission, has initiated a capacity regulation meeting for the pig industry, emphasizing a reduction in production by 1 million pigs by the end of the year among major pig farming enterprises [1][2]. Group 1: Policy and Regulation - The meeting highlighted a focus on "controlling breeding and nurturing" and detailed the tasks for reducing breeding capacity among major pig farming enterprises [1]. - A series of financial measures will accompany the capacity regulation to support the industry [1]. - The meeting called for leading enterprises to take the initiative in controlling production capacity, including reducing the number of breeding sows and lowering the volume of pigs for market [1][2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Since late July, pig prices have been on a downward trend, with the futures index hitting a yearly low in late September [1]. - The recovery of domestic pig production capacity post-African swine fever has been primarily driven by leading enterprises, with 23 listed pig companies selling 108 million pigs in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 31.86% [1]. - The proportion of these companies' sales to the national total rose to 29.5%, up 7 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Analysis - The current inventory of breeding sows remains stable, with a slight decrease of 0.02% month-on-month but an increase of 0.02% year-on-year, indicating a slow process of capacity reduction [2]. - The industry is experiencing pressure from supply, with larger weights of pigs leading to increased market supply and a generally pessimistic market sentiment [3]. - Demand is supported by seasonal factors, such as cooler weather in the north and pre-holiday stocking, but overall demand remains limited [3].