万乾论金：9.22今日黄金行情走势分析与操作策略

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a slight upward trend, with a focus on the potential for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October, which has a probability of 91.9% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gold prices rose for the fifth consecutive week, indicating resilience during the initial phase of a monetary policy shift [1] - The gold market showed high volatility last week, starting at $3642 per ounce, dipping to a low of $3626, peaking at $3707 midweek, and closing at $3685 [1] - The weekly chart formed a small bullish candle, confirming a five-week upward trend [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - Daily charts indicate a reversal from consecutive declines to an upward trend, with key indicators showing signs of recovery [1] - The 4-hour chart shows a bullish crossover in the stochastic indicator and MACD near the zero line, suggesting potential upward momentum [1] - Short-term resistance is noted at the Bollinger upper band around $3698-$3700, with support identified at $3625-$3630 [1] Group 3: Trading Strategies - Aggressive traders are advised to enter long positions on pullbacks between $3660-$3665, with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of $3675-$3685 [3] - Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to the $3648-$3653 range to enter long positions, also with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of $3670-$3680 [3] - For short positions, traders are recommended to sell on rebounds between $3692-$3697, with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of $3665-$3675 [3]