卓创资讯：明晚24时成品油零售限价搁浅概率较大

Group 1 - The international crude oil prices have shown a strong fluctuation within a range during the pricing cycle from September 9, 2025, to September 23, 2025 [1] - As a result, the domestic reference crude oil change rate has shifted from negative to positive but remains at a low level, with an adjustment magnitude of 25 yuan/ton calculated on the 9th working day [1] - The adjustment amount has not reached the National Development and Reform Commission's price adjustment threshold of 50 yuan/ton, indicating a potential for no price change [1] Group 2 - There is one working day left until the price adjustment window, and according to Zhaochuang Information, the probability of domestic refined oil price adjustment being shelved is relatively high as of September 23, 2025, at 24:00 [1]