负荷为王,风电开发投资的逻辑变了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-22 03:16

Core Viewpoint - The investment logic in the wind power sector is shifting from "building where the wind is strong" to "building where the electricity is consumed," marking a new era focused on load demand [1][10]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The issuance of Document No. 136 is a watershed policy for the wind power industry, breaking the previous fixed-price model and requiring that all renewable energy project output enter the electricity market for price formation [3][6]. - A new "price difference settlement mechanism" has been established, providing compensation when market prices fall below the mechanism price and deducting the difference when they exceed it, favoring projects near load centers [3][6]. - The green electricity direct connection policy encourages investment in projects that allow direct transactions between power producers and large electricity consumers, reducing losses and increasing negotiation space for electricity prices [3][4]. Group 2: Regional Policy Implementation - Various local policies emphasize a "load priority" approach, supporting green electricity connections for high-energy-consuming industries like aluminum and silicon photovoltaic projects [4]. - Policies in regions like Inner Mongolia and Jiangsu are designed to connect wind power projects directly with high-energy industries, promoting integrated demonstration projects [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The marketization of wind power pricing has been in the making since 2019, with a significant shift expected in 2025, where project revenues will depend on market prices rather than government-set prices [6][10]. - The disparity in wind power revenue across regions is increasing, with resource-rich areas facing price pressures due to limited local demand, while load centers can achieve higher prices through local electricity markets [6][10]. Group 4: Investment Trends - Wind power companies are increasingly focusing on load centers, as seen in recent investments aimed at integrating wind power with high-energy industries and data centers [7][10]. - Projects like the one by Goldwind in Inner Mongolia aim to convert wind power directly into industrial raw materials, addressing consumption issues [7][10]. - The trend indicates a shift towards projects that are closely linked to industrial parks and data centers, which are seen as ideal partners for wind power due to their stable electricity demand [9][10].