特朗普刚签署，白宫紧急澄清！美国豆农没有收到中国订单，急了！

Core Insights - The U.S. soybean industry is facing significant challenges due to a sharp decline in exports to China, which has shifted its purchasing to South America [3][5][14] - Recent U.S. immigration policies are causing unrest in both the agricultural and high-tech sectors, further complicating the economic landscape [9][20] Group 1: Export Dynamics - In the 2023-2024 marketing year, U.S. soybean exports to China reached 24.9 million tons, significantly higher than exports to the EU and Mexico [3] - By 2025, major Chinese grain traders have almost entirely shifted their soybean purchases to South America, leading to a drastic reduction in U.S. market share [3][14] - The U.S. Soybean Association reports that the loss of Chinese orders is causing financial distress for approximately 500,000 soybean farmers [5][11] Group 2: Financial Impact on Farmers - A survey by the U.S. Agricultural Census indicates that household income for soybean farmers in the Midwest fell by over 30% year-on-year in Q2 2025 [7] - The U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts an 18% year-on-year increase in soybean inventory by Q4 2025, putting downward pressure on prices [13] - Many farmers are being forced to reduce planting areas or switch to less profitable crops like corn and wheat due to financial pressures [13][16] Group 3: Policy and Market Reactions - The recent increase in H-1B visa application fees has raised concerns among tech companies about higher operational costs and reduced global talent attraction [9][20] - The U.S. government is attempting to negotiate agricultural tariff agreements with other markets, but these efforts are unlikely to replace the significant volume of trade with China [16][20] - The agricultural sector is calling for a rational approach to trade policies to rebuild a healthy international trade order [20]