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管涛:稳物价有待供需两端进一步发力 | 立方大家谈
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-22 04:05

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and recent developments in China's consumer price index (CPI) and inflation, emphasizing the government's efforts to improve supply-demand relationships through various policies and reforms, particularly focusing on the "anti-involution" measures in the supply side to stabilize prices [1][2][3]. Economic Indicators - In the first eight months of the year, China's CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, grew by 0.5%. The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.9%, indicating significant challenges in achieving the inflation target set at around 2% [2][3]. - The core CPI has shown a positive trend since May, with a month-on-month increase reaching 0.9% in August. The PPI's year-on-year decline has narrowed for the first time after five months of continuous expansion [2][3]. Supply-Side "Anti-Involution" Policies - The "anti-involution" measures aim to combat excessive competition that distorts market mechanisms and harms consumer interests. These measures include promoting industry self-discipline and optimizing market competition [4][5]. - Key actions include regulating local government behaviors, enhancing industry standards, and revising laws to prevent unfair competition and price manipulation [5][6]. Industry-Specific Developments - The government has implemented policies to improve the competitive landscape in various sectors, including coal, steel, and new energy vehicles, leading to a reduction in price declines in these industries [3][5]. - The focus on quality competition encourages companies to invest in technology and brand development rather than engaging in price wars, which is expected to foster a healthier market environment [6][7]. Demand-Side Considerations - The article highlights the need for demand-side measures to complement supply-side reforms, as the current "anti-involution" efforts have not significantly boosted commodity prices compared to previous supply-side reforms [8][9]. - The disparity between industrial output growth and consumer spending indicates a need for policies that stimulate demand, particularly in the service sector, to enhance overall economic activity [10][11]. Employment and Investment Strategies - Employment remains a critical focus, with policies aimed at increasing job opportunities for key demographics, including graduates and migrant workers, to boost consumer spending [11]. - Investment in infrastructure and private sector development is essential for expanding domestic demand, with ongoing efforts to streamline project approvals and enhance support for private enterprises [12].