阿根廷资本外流加速！米莱承认“市场处于恐慌状态”

Core Viewpoint - Argentina's financial markets are in a state of crisis, exacerbated by President Milei's recent admission of market panic and the political setbacks affecting his reform agenda [1][6]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The Argentine peso has depreciated over 10% against the US dollar in the past month and more than 34% over the past year [1]. - Argentine bonds and stocks have seen a significant decline, with capital outflows accelerating [3]. - The Central Bank has reportedly used $1.1 billion in just three days to defend the peso, raising concerns about the sustainability of its foreign reserves, estimated to be below $20 billion [5]. Group 2: Political Landscape - President Milei's reform agenda faces strong political opposition, with recent defeats in Congress regarding controversial spending cuts in education and healthcare [6]. - The leftist Peronist opposition's victory in Buenos Aires has further unsettled investors, as Milei's party received only 34% of the votes, trailing by 13 percentage points [6]. - The political uncertainty is expected to lead to increased volatility in foreign exchange and asset prices ahead of the upcoming midterm elections [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The outlook for Argentina is increasingly pessimistic, with expectations of continued volatility in foreign exchange and asset prices [7]. - The government is reportedly developing strategies for debt repayment next year and may be negotiating financial assistance with an overseas institution [8].