今年融资已超200亿美元，模式已成“红海”，“数字币财库公司”还有多少子弹？

Core Insights - The digital asset treasury (DAT) companies have experienced unprecedented financing, surpassing $20 billion in 2025, with nearly $10 billion raised in July alone, indicating a record-breaking year for the industry [1][3]. - However, the financing boom appears to have peaked, with many DAT companies' trading prices falling below their net asset values (NAV), leading to liquidity pressures and the potential for industry consolidation [1][5]. Financing Trends - DAT companies have raised over $20 billion in 2025, with July accounting for almost half of this total [3]. - A total of 154 publicly listed companies in the U.S. have raised approximately $9.84 billion for cryptocurrency purchases this year [3]. - The market is shifting towards a "player versus player" competition, where merely replicating the strategies of early entrants like MicroStrategy is no longer sufficient for success [3]. Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape is intensifying, leading to a significant compression of valuation premiums previously enjoyed by early entrants [3][5]. - Analysts predict that the market will transition from the initial formation phase of DAT to execution, expansion, and potential consolidation [3]. Challenges Faced - NAV discounts and liquidity issues are becoming critical challenges for DAT companies, with many trading below their NAV [5][6]. - Low trading volumes restrict companies' abilities to raise funds through market offerings without negatively impacting their stock prices [5][6]. Strategic Responses - Leading DAT companies are actively seeking differentiation strategies to survive, including enhancing liquidity [2][7]. - Some companies are investing in locked Solana tokens at a discount, which could yield higher returns over time [7]. - The development of options markets for DAT stocks is seen as essential for creating a positive liquidity cycle [7]. Shift in Investment Focus - As the DAT sector becomes saturated, venture capital is shifting towards decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), and stablecoins [2][8]. - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to make DeFi yields more attractive, driving demand for high-yield RWA products [8]. - Investors are also focusing on mature crypto businesses and selective investments in tokens with strong fundamentals [8].