果然财经｜国际金价屡创新高，含“金”类资产表现如何？

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged significantly, breaking through key thresholds and showing a year-to-date increase of over 41% [1][2]. Gold Price Surge - In September, international gold prices rose rapidly, surpassing $3,500, $3,600, and $3,700 within half a month [1]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices also increased, with notable brands reporting price hikes, such as Chow Sang Sang at 1,090 RMB per gram, up 65 RMB from the beginning of the month [1]. Macro Economic Factors - The expectation of the Federal Reserve initiating a rate cut has contributed to the gold price increase, with the federal funds rate target range lowered by 25 basis points to 4.00% - 4.25% [2]. - The decrease in interest rates reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, enhancing its attractiveness [2]. Central Bank Purchases - Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have been significant buyers of gold, with a reported increase of 166 tons in Q2 2023 [2]. - China's central bank has increased its gold reserves for ten consecutive months, currently holding approximately 7,402 million ounces (over 2,000 tons) [2]. Geopolitical Risks - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine situation, have heightened investor risk aversion, further driving up gold prices [3]. Related Gold Assets Performance - The A-share gold sector saw an 8.28% increase in the first half of September, with individual stocks like Western Gold rising over 50% [4]. - Gold-themed financial products have gained popularity, with 47 such products currently in the market, and several new products launched since July [4]. Financial Products and Early Profit-Taking - Some gold-linked financial products have experienced early profit-taking due to reaching predetermined conditions, such as the 招银理财 product achieving a target yield of 3.50% [5]. - The trend of early profit-taking has become a popular topic on social media [5]. Gold ETF Growth - The total market size of gold ETFs has surpassed 160 billion RMB, with many ETFs experiencing significant net asset growth [6]. - Companies like Shandong Gold have announced share placements to raise funds, reflecting a trend of financing in the gold mining sector due to favorable market conditions [6]. Investment Considerations - Investors are advised to be cautious in the current high gold price environment, as geopolitical uncertainties and the potential for market volatility may impact future performance [7][8]. - It is suggested that households consider a gold allocation of approximately 5% to 10% of their investment portfolio [8].