Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-22 09:10Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by a total of 125 basis points between Q4 2025 and Q1 2027, which will benefit Hong Kong real estate companies by reducing interest expenses and stimulating the real estate market [1] - The Chief Executive's recent policy report introduced more flexible land acquisition and exchange models, which is believed to accelerate the development of the Northern Metropolis and help Hysan Development (00012) monetize its substantial farmland reserves [1] - Hysan Development holds approximately 41.9 million square feet of farmland with a historical average cost of HKD 227 per square foot, while recent land acquisition prices exceed HKD 1,000 per square foot, indicating significant potential gains in the coming years [1] Group 2 - The company has slightly raised its profit forecasts for Hysan Development for 2025 to 2027 to reflect the impact of reduced interest expenses and upgraded its rating to "Buy" with a target price increase from HKD 25.9 to HKD 32.68 [2]