和讯投顾陈晓俊：节前大盘下跌空间有限！

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to have limited downside before the holiday, with potential for a significant upward movement either this week or after the National Day holiday, driven by anticipated supportive policies and technical factors [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - Since the market rally that began on September 24 last year, the initial policy response followed the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, suggesting a similar pattern may occur this year after the September 18 rate cut [1] - Institutions predict a stimulus policy ranging from 500 billion to 1 trillion yuan to be introduced between late September and October, which could support the market after a lackluster first half of the year [1] - The market's downside is largely mitigated by these expected policies, indicating a more stable outlook moving forward [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The market experienced a significant rally from June 24, followed by a month of consolidation, with expectations of a breakout in late September as positive news continues to emerge [1] - Today's trading volume was 2.1 trillion yuan, which is lower than the previous trading day, potentially signaling preparation for future upward movements [1]