48：47，美国投票结果诞生，特朗普收到坏消息，他要支付351亿巨款

Core Insights - The article highlights the challenges faced by American farmers, particularly in the soybean sector, due to trade tensions and inadequate government support [5][6][9][14] - It discusses the political implications of agricultural subsidies and the growing discontent among farmers towards the Trump administration [11][13][14] Group 1: Economic Impact - American soybean exports to China saw a dramatic decline of 42% year-on-year in Q4 2024, exacerbating the struggles of U.S. farmers [6] - The current domestic soybean inventory has reached an alarming 1.02 billion bushels, with prices dropping to $10.25 per bushel, which is below the production cost [9] - The agricultural sector contributes 18.7% to the U.S. GDP, supporting over 230,000 jobs, indicating the broader economic implications of the agricultural crisis [11][14] Group 2: Political Dynamics - The narrow Senate vote of 48 to 47 for Trump's economic advisor Stephen Milan to join the Federal Reserve Board reflects a shift in political dynamics, with some previously loyal lawmakers showing signs of independence [3][14] - Trump's promise of $35.1 billion in agricultural subsidies, initially aimed at winning over agricultural state voters, faces significant challenges in implementation due to rising national debt and budget constraints [5][14] - Discontent among farmers is growing, with many expressing their frustrations directly to Trump, indicating a potential shift in voter sentiment ahead of future elections [13][14] Group 3: International Relations - Trump is attempting to leverage international relationships, particularly with European allies, to alleviate the surplus of unsold U.S. soybeans, but faces resistance [8] - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has raised concerns over the U.S. agricultural subsidies, which could lead to international disputes and further complicate trade relations [8]