阿联酋经济预计2025年将增长4.9%

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of the UAE projects a 4.9% economic growth for the UAE in 2025, up from a previous forecast of 4.4%, driven by increased oil production and strong growth in the non-hydrocarbon sector [1] Economic Growth Projections - The hydrocarbon sector is expected to grow by 5.8% in 2025 and 6.5% in the following year, attributed to increased oil production under OPEC+ quotas [1] - The non-hydrocarbon sector accounted for 77.1% of GDP in the first quarter, indicating a significant shift towards economic diversification [1] Sector-Specific Growth - The non-hydrocarbon GDP is projected to grow by 4.5% in 2025 and 4.8% in 2026, potentially benefiting from indirect effects of hydrocarbon growth, including increased investment, government spending, and enhanced economic confidence [1] - The UAE's economy grew by 3.9% year-on-year in the first quarter, driven by a 5.3% increase in the non-hydrocarbon sector, particularly in manufacturing, financial services, construction, and real estate [1]