莫迪派团去美国谈判，背后暗战暗流涌

Core Insights - The trade friction between India and the US is likened to a chess game, with underlying tensions despite a seemingly calm surface [1] - India's Minister of Commerce and Industry, Goyal, is set to visit Washington to address the long-stalled trade agreement, reflecting India's strategic positioning in economic sovereignty and international negotiations [1][3] - The recent increase in tariffs and visa fees by the US has significantly impacted India's exports and its information technology sector, prompting India to adopt a self-reliant approach [3][5] Trade Negotiations - The atmosphere during the recent negotiations between India's chief negotiator Agarwal and the US trade representative's team was described as "positive," indicating a strategic diplomatic approach [1] - The US has imposed a 25% tariff on Indian oil imports, doubling the overall tariff to 50%, which has led to a decline in India's exports to the US from $8.01 billion in July to $6.86 billion in August [1][3] - The US is pushing for India to open its agricultural and dairy markets, a contentious issue that has previously led to the cancellation of planned visits by US representatives [3][5] Economic Strategy - India's government is promoting domestic consumption and resilience in response to external pressures, indicating a shift towards a more self-sufficient economic model [3][5] - The increase in H-1B visa fees, targeting India's IT services sector, represents a direct challenge to India's economic interests, yet the government remains firm in its negotiation stance [3][5] - India's strategic autonomy is reflected in its flexible domestic economic policies, including tax reductions and support for local products, creating a dynamic balance between external pressures and internal market stability [5] Global Economic Dynamics - The ongoing trade negotiations highlight a broader shift in global economic power dynamics, with India asserting its position as a strategic player rather than a passive market [5][7] - Goyal's visit to the US is not just about advancing trade agreements but also serves as a platform for India to showcase its economic autonomy and resilience [5][7] - The interplay of tariffs, visa policies, and market access negotiations underscores India's control over its economic destiny and its response to global economic challenges [7]