Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the retail price adjustment for refined oil is likely to be suspended due to the current pricing not reaching the adjustment threshold, despite a slight increase in crude oil prices during the recent pricing cycle [1][2] - During the pricing cycle from September 9 to September 23, international crude oil prices showed a trend of rising and then falling, with the change rate moving from negative to a low positive value, suggesting limited room for retail price adjustments [1] - The monitoring model from Zhaochuang Information indicates that as of September 22, the reference crude oil change rate was 0.39%, leading to an expected increase of 15 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel, but still below the retail price adjustment threshold [1] Group 2 - Zhaochuang Information forecasts that the oil price will face downward pressure due to inventory accumulation, while factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and disturbances in Europe provide some support for oil prices [2] - The new pricing cycle is expected to start with a negative change rate, with an anticipated retail price decrease of 80 yuan per ton, and the adjustment window set for October 13, which coincides with the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, adding uncertainty to the final outcome [2]
原油涨后回落 成品油零售限价调整或再遇搁浅
Qi Huo Ri Bao·2025-09-23 03:24