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国泰海通:予诺诚健华“增持”评级 目标价26.7港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-23 03:27

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan maintains a "Buy" rating for Nuo Cheng Jian Hua (09969), projecting revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 at 14.43 billion, 18.59 billion, and 26.91 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 43%, 29%, and 45% respectively. A target price of 24.53 to 26.70 HKD is set for 2025 based on a 30x PS ratio [1]. Group 1: Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.26%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -0.30 billion yuan, narrowing losses by 88.51% [2]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 3.50 billion yuan, up 37.91% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.48 billion yuan, with losses narrowing by 59.76%. The revenue growth was primarily driven by increased sales of Obinutuzumab and recognition of licensing income, with pharmaceutical sales rising by 53.47% [2]. Group 2: Blood Cancer Leadership - The company continues to solidify its leadership in the blood cancer sector, with strong sales growth of Obinutuzumab, which generated 6.37 billion yuan in sales in the first half of 2025, a 52.84% increase year-on-year. The NDA application for 1LCLL/SLL was approved in April 2025 [3]. - The commercialization of Tanshizumab is set to begin, with approval for the indication of unsuitable ASCT r/r DLBCL received in April 2025, and sales expected to start between Q3 and Q4 of 2025 [3]. - ICP-248 is advancing in multiple registrations in both domestic and U.S. markets, with ongoing patient recruitment for 1LCLL/SLL and BTKi-treated MCL indications in China, and steady progress in AML and MDS studies in the U.S. The addition of new indications is expected to further boost Obinutuzumab's sales [3]. Group 3: Autoimmune Pipeline - The company has multiple pipelines in autoimmune diseases entering Phase III trials, with two Phase III clinical trials for Obinutuzumab (PPMS and SPMS) expected to start patient recruitment in the second half of 2025. The Phase III registration trial for ITP in China has successfully completed patient enrollment, with NDA submission anticipated in the first half of 2026. Data readout for SLE is expected in Q4 2025 [4]. - For ICP-332, patient recruitment for the AD Phase III trial is accelerating, and the Phase II/III trial for vitiligo began patient recruitment in May 2025. The global Phase II trial for PN is expected to start in the second half of 2025 [4]. - The Phase III registration trial for plaque psoriasis with ICP-488 is currently recruiting patients [4].