黄金，大涨加速逼空，注意回调风险！

Group 1: Global Economic and Monetary Policy - The recognition of the State of Palestine has increased, with 152 out of 193 UN member states acknowledging it, leaving only the US among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council unrecognized [1] - Federal Reserve officials expressed a hawkish stance, with expectations of only one rate cut this year, and concerns about inflation risks limiting further cuts [1] - According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates in October is 10.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 89.8% [1] Group 2: Gold Market Performance - Gold prices surged, reaching a historical high with a daily increase of over $60, closing above $3745 [2] - The price of gold has risen significantly from $3311 to over $3759, marking an increase of nearly $450 [3] - The recent bullish trend in gold is characterized by a strong upward movement, with potential targets set at $3850 based on previous price movements [5] Group 3: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold has reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, indicating a potential for short-term adjustments while maintaining a bullish outlook [8] - The importance of trend support levels is highlighted, with a focus on whether the price can hold above key support areas to avoid a weakening of the bullish trend [8] - The silver market is also experiencing upward momentum, with key support levels identified for potential adjustments [8]