油价最新消息：今晚或将再次搁浅→

Core Viewpoint - The recent monitoring data indicates that the adjustment of gasoline and diesel prices may once again be suspended due to the current pricing cycle's dynamics influenced by geopolitical tensions and market supply-demand factors [1] Group 1: Current Market Analysis - The market was initially affected by the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle Eastern tensions, leading to concerns over overall oil supply [1] - As geopolitical tensions have eased, there has been an increase in supply and a weakening demand, resulting in a prolonged weak performance of crude oil prices [1] - As of September 22, the reference crude oil change rate was at 0.39%, suggesting a potential increase in gasoline and diesel prices by 15 yuan per ton, which does not meet the retail price adjustment threshold of 50 yuan per ton [1] Group 2: Future Market Predictions - The outlook suggests that oil prices may face downward pressure due to inventory accumulation, while factors such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and disturbances in Europe may provide some support [1] - The new pricing cycle is expected to start with a negative crude oil change rate, predicting a decrease in retail fuel prices by 80 yuan per ton, with the adjustment window set for October 13 [1] - The upcoming adjustment cycle will span the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, leading to significant uncertainty regarding the final price adjustment outcome [1]