领峰环球金银评论：金价多头强势起爆 冲击3800美金关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-23 04:47

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices surged past the $3700 mark, reaching a high of $3757, approaching the historical high of $3800, driven by ongoing geopolitical risks and the onset of a rate-cutting cycle [1] - The immediate catalyst for the price increase is the strong market expectation for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, following a 25 basis point cut last week, marking the beginning of a new easing cycle [1] - Geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the situation in Gaza, have heightened investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset, emphasizing its value during uncertain political and economic times [1] - There are significant internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding further rate cuts, with some officials suggesting limited room for additional cuts if inflation risks rise [1] Technical Analysis - The gold (XAUUSD) chart indicates a bullish breakout above the $3700 resistance level, suggesting continued upward momentum [4] - The MACD indicator shows that the bullish momentum is dominant, although a short-term adjustment may occur due to a recent death cross in the fast and slow lines [4] Trading Strategy - For day trading, a long position is recommended around $3728, with a stop loss at $3712 and a target range of $3748 to $3758 [5] Silver Analysis - The silver (XAGUSD) chart reveals a standard head and shoulders bottom formation, with a strong bullish trend following a breakout to new highs [8] - The MACD indicator for silver also indicates a dominant bullish trend, although a short-term adjustment may be expected due to a recent death cross [8] Silver Trading Strategy - For day trading, a long position is suggested around $43.40, with a stop loss at $43.20 and a target range of $43.80 to $44.20 [9] Economic Calendar - Key economic indicators and speeches from various central bank officials are scheduled, including manufacturing PMI data from France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK, as well as remarks from Federal Reserve officials [9]