Group 1: Resource Competition - The competition between China and the U.S. over resources, particularly rare earth elements, is intensifying, with China controlling over 90% of global supply [1] - In July, China reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds by $25.7 billion, bringing its total to $730.7 billion, the lowest in 16 years, showcasing its strategic positioning in resource negotiations [1] Group 2: China's Dominance in Rare Earths - China has established a comprehensive rare earth industry since the 1990s, leveraging rich deposits in Inner Mongolia and Jiangxi, leading to a global production and technology leadership [3] - The U.S. Department of Defense acknowledges that without Chinese rare earths, the production line for the F-35 fighter jet could face shutdown [3] Group 3: Impact on Technology and Industry - In 2023, China implemented export controls on critical minerals like gallium and germanium, directly impacting the U.S. semiconductor industry, with China controlling 69% of global rare earth production and nearly half of its reserves [5] - European companies, such as a major German automotive parts manufacturer, have also suffered significant losses due to rare earth supply disruptions [5] Group 4: U.S. Legislative Response - The U.S. Congress is actively seeking ways to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earths, with estimates suggesting that rebuilding a complete supply chain would require at least $300 billion and a decade of time [7] - The proposed aviation sanctions by U.S. lawmakers could backfire, potentially leading to significant losses for Boeing and an increase in international rare earth prices by 20% [8] Group 5: Historical Context and Future Implications - The current situation mirrors past trade conflicts, such as the 2018 soybean tariffs, where China successfully shifted its market focus, leading to losses for U.S. farmers [9] - China's ongoing strategy to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar and increase gold reserves indicates a long-term vision for economic and technological independence [9] - The outcome of this resource competition could reshape the global technology industry landscape [10]
再使坏,不给稀土就不让中国航班落地,话音刚落,中方减持257亿美债
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-23 08:53