Sublime China Information (SZ:301299) Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang·2025-09-23 09:14Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced that there will be no adjustment to domestic fuel prices due to insufficient price changes in the international oil market, marking the sixth time prices have been left unchanged since September 9, 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Oil Price Dynamics - International oil prices have shown a trend of rising and then falling, influenced by geopolitical conflicts, US-China trade negotiations, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and a loose supply-demand balance [1] - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, in response to a slowing US economy and weak employment, contributed to the decline in oil prices [1] - Seasonal demand for crude oil has decreased following the summer travel peak, compounded by a significant increase in US distillate oil inventories, which rose by 4 million barrels, raising concerns about market demand [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The NDRC's price monitoring center anticipates that international oil prices will continue to fluctuate, with a focus on OPEC+'s policy adjustments and actual production levels of member countries [2] - Analysts suggest that while the accumulation of oil inventories may exert downward pressure on international oil prices, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and disturbances in Europe may provide some support, leading to a generally weak market outlook [2]