“双节”期间，成品油价维持低位

Core Viewpoint - Domestic retail prices for refined oil have remained unchanged for the sixth time this year, with the current pricing cycle expected to last until after the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, indicating stable fuel costs for residents and logistics in the near term [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - In 2023, domestic refined oil retail prices have undergone 19 adjustment cycles, including 6 increases, 6 instances of price stability, and 7 decreases. The prices for gasoline and diesel have decreased by 405 yuan/ton and 390 yuan/ton, respectively, compared to the end of last year [1]. - The next price adjustment window is set for October 13, 2023, with significant uncertainty due to the adjustment period overlapping with the holidays [3]. Group 2: Market Analysis - Analysts note that the international oil price experienced fluctuations, initially rising and then falling, with limited support from market news. The market is currently characterized by flexible transaction activities and limited price volatility among major suppliers [2]. - Future oil price trends are expected to be influenced by oil inventory data, with a potential downward pressure from inventory accumulation. However, factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical disturbances in Europe may provide some support for oil prices [2]. - The anticipated resumption of oil exports from Iraq's Kurdish region raises concerns about oversupply, compounded by a bleak global economic outlook and demand prospects, making it unlikely for international oil prices to exhibit a strong upward trend in the short term [2].