Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-23 14:35Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, there was no significant volatility in overseas assets, which aligns with historical performance patterns following such cuts [1] - Investors tend to preemptively adjust their expectations based on U.S. economic and inflation data, which influences their predictions of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction [1] - Prior to the September rate cut, U.S. Treasury yields began to decline, the U.S. dollar index weakened, gold prices surged, and U.S. stocks performed well, indicating that the market had already priced in the rate cut [1] Group 2 - The impact of the Federal Reserve's rate cut and monetary policy on Chinese assets is currently limited, primarily because Chinese asset pricing is more reliant on domestic factors [2] - Over the past few years, the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets have fully priced in both domestic and external risk factors, with a shift in focus towards domestic policies, economic fundamentals, and market risk appetite expected after September 2024 [2] - The influence of domestic capital and southbound funds in the Hong Kong market has significantly increased, further diminishing the marginal impact of the Federal Reserve's policies on Chinese assets [2]