Core Viewpoint - Nike (NKE) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended August 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on its near-term stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Nike's quarterly earnings is $0.28 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 60% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $11 billion, which is a decline of 5.1% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial estimates during this period [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +25.35% suggests that analysts have recently become more optimistic about Nike's earnings prospects, as the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10]. - Nike currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Nike was expected to post earnings of $0.12 per share but exceeded this with actual earnings of $0.14, resulting in a surprise of +16.67% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Nike has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14].
Nike (NKE) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q1 Release