Disney likely to spin off ESPN and ABC post-Iger, says LightShed's Rich Greenfield

Core Viewpoint - The discussion centers around the potential for Disney to spin off ESPN and ABC, particularly in light of regulatory challenges and the changing landscape of broadcast television [2][3][4]. Group 1: Disney's Strategic Position - Disney is in a challenging position as it navigates the need to remain apolitical while filling its theme parks and cruise ships, which is crucial for its business [4]. - The recent NFL deal for ESPN may influence Disney's future decisions regarding the potential spin-off of ABC and ESPN, focusing on core businesses that drive growth [3][5]. Group 2: Broadcast Television Challenges - There is a fundamental issue with late-night television ratings, affecting not just individual shows but the entire broadcast landscape, as programming shifts away from traditional broadcast to cable and streaming platforms [7][10][17]. - The regulatory environment for broadcast television is more stringent compared to cable and streaming, leading to a potential increase in programming moving to less regulated platforms [9][12][13]. Group 3: Advertising and Reach Implications - The shift of programming from broadcast to streaming could result in a loss of reach, which is critical for advertisers, as broadcast television traditionally offers broader access to audiences [14][15]. - The value of companies like NextStar and Comcast may be impacted by the ongoing transition of content away from broadcast television, affecting their advertising revenue and overall valuation [16][18].