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上游现减产预期,多晶硅成交价重心继续上移
Xuan Gu Bao·2025-09-23 23:17

Industry Insights - The price of multi-crystalline silicon N-type raw materials is quoted at 50.3-55 CNY/kg, while granular silicon is priced at 49-50 CNY/kg, with an overall multi-crystalline silicon price index at 52.44 CNY/kg, indicating a slight upward shift in transaction prices [1] - The market for multi-crystalline silicon is experiencing polarization, with resources priced at 52 CNY/kg and below being more popular, leading to some crystal pulling enterprises facing supply shortages [1] - In September, multi-crystalline silicon production saw mixed changes, with an overall expected slight decline. In October, a reduction in production is anticipated in the Sichuan region due to the approaching dry season [1] - The photovoltaic industry is advancing its "anti-involution" strategy, with significant effects from price control measures, suggesting that industry chain prices may gradually cover full costs [1] - Strict new energy consumption standards for multi-crystalline silicon are expected to accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity [1] - The photovoltaic sector is likely to achieve supply-side improvements through a combination of top-level support, market-driven elimination, and technological iteration, with policies related to capacity and product quality expected to be implemented soon [1] Company Developments - TBEA (特变电工) claims that its multi-crystalline silicon cost and quality are among the best in China, with cash costs around 30,000 CNY/ton and comprehensive costs approximately 35,000 CNY/ton by July 2025 [2] - Daqo New Energy (大全能源), a leading domestic high-purity multi-crystalline silicon producer, has established partnerships with major photovoltaic companies such as Longi Green Energy, JA Solar, Trina Solar, and TCL Zhonghuan, with a production guidance of 110,000 to 140,000 tons for the entire year of 2025 [2]