黄金今日行情走势要点分析（2025.9.24）

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by geopolitical tensions, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and market reactions to economic data releases [2][5]. Fundamental Analysis - Geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding NATO's warnings about Russia and Trump's comments on Ukraine, have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2]. - The market anticipates high probabilities of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in October and December, which could lower the opportunity cost of holding gold and weaken the dollar, providing support for gold prices [2]. - Key economic indicators to watch include the U.S. new home sales data for August and speeches from Federal Reserve officials [2]. Technical Analysis - Daily Chart: The recent price action shows a small bullish candle with an upper shadow, indicating potential resistance around 3791. The market remains in a strong upward trend unless significant support levels are breached [5][6]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 3791 and 3801/3802, while support levels are at 3720, 3709, and 3690 [7][9]. - Four-Hour Chart: The recent upward movement from 3628 to 3791 shows a strong bullish trend, but the market is currently in a short-term adjustment phase. Key support levels to monitor are 3728, 3709, and 3690 [9].