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中国逃命式抛美债,日本1.15万亿美债恐成“死亡陷阱”!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-24 08:40

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting strategies of China and Japan regarding U.S. Treasury bonds, highlighting China's proactive approach to reduce reliance on the dollar while Japan remains dependent on it due to economic constraints [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: China's Strategy - China is aggressively selling U.S. Treasury bonds and increasing its gold reserves, now holding nearly 2,400 tons, which is more than many developed countries [1][2]. - The country is moving towards using the yuan or mutually accepted currencies in international trade, reducing its dependence on the dollar and mitigating the risks associated with U.S. monetary policy [2][3]. - China's ability to develop its own technology, such as domestically produced 28nm chips, allows it to assert more control over its economic future and reduce reliance on U.S. technology [3][4]. Group 2: Japan's Dilemma - Japan holds approximately $1.15 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds, which it uses to stabilize its currency and economy, despite being aware of the risks involved [2][3]. - The Japanese economy is heavily reliant on exports, and fluctuations in the yen's value necessitate the purchase of U.S. bonds to manage exchange rates, creating a cycle of dependency [2][3]. - Japan's security and technological reliance on the U.S. limits its options, forcing it to continue purchasing U.S. debt even when it may not be in its best interest [3][4]. Group 3: U.S. Position - The U.S. is facing a significant national debt, with projections indicating that the deficit could reach $1.9 trillion by 2025, raising concerns about its long-term fiscal sustainability [2][3]. - The U.S. leverages its position to pressure allies like Japan into purchasing more Treasury bonds, creating a cycle where Japan's economic health is tied to U.S. fiscal policy [3][4].