Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that 2024-2025 may represent a bottoming period for profitability in the solar energy storage industry, with performance differentiation among companies signaling potential investment opportunities [1] - The demand for solar energy installations globally is driven by grid parity and energy transition, while the supply side is experiencing losses from old capacities and delays in new projects due to intense competition [1] - The report highlights that each round of demand-driven production increases serves as a critical validation point for the evolution of the industry cycle, with inverters leading the recovery due to higher competitive barriers [1] Group 2 - In August 2025, China's total export value of solar cell modules reached $2.921 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.8% and a month-on-month increase of 31.4%, with an estimated export volume of 40.42 GW [1] - The export of solar battery modules to Europe in August was 11.61 GW, showing a year-on-year increase of 39.41% and a month-on-month increase of 23.84%, marking two consecutive months of positive growth [1] - Emerging markets are flourishing, with exports of battery modules outside Europe reaching 28.81 GW, a year-on-year increase of 67.77% and a month-on-month increase of 36.54% [1] Group 3 - In August 2025, the total export value of inverters from China was $878 million, with a year-on-year increase of 1.93% but a month-on-month decrease of 3.63% [2] - The export scale of inverters reached 3.8461 million units in August, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 27.26% and a month-on-month decrease of 16.39% [2] - The report notes that while overseas distribution channels are adjusting, high-priced household and commercial energy storage products remain in demand, particularly in provinces like Zhejiang and Jiangsu [2]
长城证券:24-25年或为光储行业盈利底部时刻 平价上网与能源转型仍为全球各地装机需求底色