法国没有想到，两场战斗可能会将阵风战斗机的客户打没了

Core Viewpoint - The Dassault Rafale fighter jet, once celebrated as a symbol of European military independence, faces significant challenges following recent combat failures and compatibility issues, jeopardizing its market position and sales targets [2][27]. Group 1: Combat Performance Issues - In May 2025, the Indian Air Force launched a large-scale airstrike involving 72 aircraft, including Rafales, targeting nine military sites in Pakistan [6]. - The air battle revealed a critical performance gap in missile capabilities, with Pakistan's JF-17 and Chinese-made J-10CE outperforming the Rafale's European Meteor missiles, leading to the loss of six Indian aircraft, including three Rafales [10][11]. - The combat failures have raised concerns about the Rafale's effectiveness in real-world scenarios, impacting its reputation in the international arms market [27]. Group 2: Systemic Compatibility Issues - Following the May air battle, an incident in September 2025 highlighted systemic compatibility problems when Israeli F-15I jets successfully struck a Hamas target in Qatar, where Rafales failed to intercept due to delays in data transmission from radar systems [17][19]. - The investigation revealed that the Rafale's data link and communication protocols are incompatible with NATO standards, limiting its integration into modern joint combat operations [19]. Group 3: Hardware Limitations - The Rafale's radar performance is constrained by its compact design, resulting in a smaller radar aperture compared to competitors, which affects detection range [24]. - The aircraft utilizes outdated GaAs technology instead of the more advanced GaN components, leading to a performance gap in radar capabilities [25]. - Environmental adaptability issues have been noted, particularly in high-temperature and high-humidity conditions, which can significantly reduce radar effectiveness [25]. Group 4: Market Impact and Future Prospects - The recent combat losses have led to a decline in international orders, with countries like Egypt and Greece postponing or reducing their procurement plans, threatening Dassault's revenue target of €6.5 billion for 2025 [27]. - Despite the challenges, India continues to purchase Rafales due to limited options, as alternatives from China and Russia are not viable, making the Rafale the only available choice that offers some technology transfer [29]. - The situation reflects broader trends in European defense, indicating a decline in competitiveness against U.S. and Chinese advancements in military technology [30].