菲经济增长或放缓

Core Insights - The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) projects the Philippine GDP growth rate to stabilize at the lower end of the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) target of 5.5% to 6.5% for 2025 [1] - Inflation is expected to be 1.7% in 2025, significantly below the government's target range of 2% to 4%, rising to 3.3% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027 [1] - The Department of Finance acknowledges that economic growth is below initial expectations due to global economic headwinds, but fiscal targets can still be achieved through stronger tax measures and improved tax administration [1] Economic Growth Projections - The Philippine economy is projected to grow within the range of 6% to 7% in 2026, with a return to the target range by 2027 supported by lower policy interest rates and a neutral output gap [1] Inflation Forecast - The inflation rate is forecasted to be 1.7% in 2025, increasing to 3.3% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027, indicating a gradual rise in inflation after a low initial rate [1] Fiscal Measures - The Philippine government plans to increase revenue through key measures such as digital services VAT, capital market efficiency legislation, and the CREATE MORE initiative, alongside efforts to combat tax evasion [1] - Additional measures under consideration include taxes on electronic gaming, single-use plastics, universal tax amnesty, and an extension of estate tax amnesty [1]