Core Viewpoint - Despite warnings from the Federal Reserve about high stock valuations, the Chinese technology sector, particularly semiconductor stocks, continues to perform well in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Semiconductor Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector is leading the market, with significant gains in stocks such as Changchuan Technology and Jiangfeng Electronics, which hit the daily limit up of 20%, and Huahai Qingshi and Nanda Optoelectronics rising over 12% [2]. - The semiconductor equipment ETF, E Fund (159558), reached a closing increase of 9.44%, with a nearly 31% rise over the past ten days, indicating strong investor interest [2]. - The overall semiconductor and components index has outperformed the broader market since September, showcasing a clear trend of leading stocks driving the entire sector [13][15]. Group 2: Positive Catalysts - Major technological advancements have been reported, including new developments in advanced packaging equipment and significant awards at industry exhibitions [4][6]. - Alibaba's CEO announced a substantial investment of 380 billion in AI infrastructure, which is expected to drive demand for AI chips, further benefiting the semiconductor sector [5][6]. - Domestic semiconductor companies are experiencing growth in orders and market share, particularly in key areas like AI GPUs and semiconductor equipment, with several new AI chips set to launch in the coming years [7]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The financial data from key semiconductor companies show robust growth, with companies like Zhongwei Company and Beifang Huachuang reporting significant revenue increases [17]. - The visibility of future earnings is strong, with many companies' orders extending into 2026 and beyond, providing a buffer against macroeconomic fluctuations [17]. Group 4: Valuation Dynamics - The current market valuation of domestic semiconductors has surpassed traditional cyclical industry frameworks, driven by high growth expectations, strategic importance, and improved earnings visibility [20][22]. - The semiconductor market in China is now driven by both market demand and supply chain security, making domestic semiconductor companies essential for many downstream enterprises [22]. - The favorable macroeconomic environment, including expectations of a shift to looser monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, is likely to enhance the valuation of long-duration assets like semiconductors [28]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - The recent performance of the domestic semiconductor sector is attributed to multiple factors, including policy support, technological breakthroughs, and favorable liquidity conditions [31]. - The investment value of domestic semiconductors is expected to deepen as the AI revolution progresses and China transitions from a manufacturing powerhouse to a technology leader [35].
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